2020 Presidential Nominations (first session)

Presidential nominations are a battle among candidates and factions for the heart and soul of a political party. Presidential nominees, more than any other person or group, are the personified image of their party, the aspirational goals of the party, and the policies that the party will pursue if they get elected. This talk places the 2020 Democratic nomination in historical context, analyzes the factional conflict between progressives and centrists, and covers the major theoretical explanations for why a particular candidate wins the nomination. Wayne Steger has authored numerous articles and a book on presidential nominations, and a model based on his research correctly forecast the 2016 Republican and Democratic presidential nominees.